Travel More Than The Home Court Is The Key Factor In Nba Betting

With the​ exception of​ talent,​ when it​ comes to​ NBA betting,​ the​ most important factor to​ consider is​ the​ home court,​ right?

Well,​ not exactly.

Actually,​ there's not much difference in​ courts. They're all made of​ wood and while the​ court logos are of​ varying colors,​ designs and questionable tastes,​ all have a​ 10-foot basket at​ each end. Supposedly,​ there's some advantage to​ "knowing the​ rims" but since metal mostly comes into play on​ missed shots and no one deliberately tries to​ miss,​ it's difficult to​ see where the​ advantage lies. Yes,​ we know from a​ rudimentary 10th grade course in​ physics that longer shots produce longer rebounds but the​ direction of​ the​ carom is​ based more on​ the​ trajectory of​ the​ shot than anything to​ do with the​ condition of​ the​ rims.

Another supposed advantage of​ the​ home court is​ the​ local fans. But it's hard to​ accept the​ notion that professionals,​ who balk at​ signing autographs unless they're paid,​ are motivated by the​ very same people they so willingly shun. Besides,​ what did all that ranting and raving by Spike Lee at​ Madison Square Garden ever do for New York? Reggie Miller still did the​ right thing by the​ Pacers and destroyed the​ Knicks.

The final alleged advantage of​ playing at​ home is​ that players gain some sort of​ "comfort level" from sleeping in​ their own beds. Excuse me,​ but weren't you​ paying attention to​ the​ Gold Club trial in​ Atlanta a​ few years ago? Based on​ the​ evidence,​ it​ seems that many a​ player readily would relinquish a​ night under his own satin sheets if​ an,​ ahem,​ "dancer" were made available for some companionship.

That being said,​ there is​ an​ advantage to​ playing at​ home but it​ has little to​ do with the​ court,​ the​ fans or​ the​ sleeping conditions. it​ has everything to​ do with getting to​ the​ court.

Clear and simple,​ visiting teams are disadvantaged most by travel,​ a​ factor we touched on​ but did not fully explore in​ a​ previous article. in​ fact,​ how far a​ team has to​ travel,​ how many time zones it​ crosses,​ the​ direction it​ travels and how many games it's forced to​ play in​ a​ given number of​ nights are crucial elements in​ both NBA oddsmaking and NBA betting.

Remember how tired and out of​ synch you​ were after a​ cross Atlantic flight? Now try running six miles (the average distance a​ basketball player runs in​ a​ game) in​ a​ different venue,​ three out of​ four or​ four out of​ six nights and see how it​ impacts your athletic performance. NBA betting pros understand that no team can be “up” for every game,​ that fatigue can become a​ significant factor,​ and pointspreads often grow in​ proportion to​ the​ length of​ a​ road trip.

It's also worth noting that it's more difficult on​ the​ body to​ travel against the​ sun,​ or​ west to​ east,​ than it​ is​ to​ go east to​ west. So,​ NBA teams based in​ the​ Western and Rocky Mountain Time Zones often are disadvantaged more by long road trips than are teams in​ the​ Eastern and Central Time Zones. One way they overcome this handicap is​ by flying all the​ way east to​ start the​ road trip then work their way back west.

Oddsmakers and NBA betting experts not only consider the​ journey of​ the​ road team but also note whether the​ home team has been stationed in​ familiar confines for a​ period of​ time or​ is​ itself just returning from a​ lengthy trip.

Often overlooked by the​ casual player,​ savvy bettors understand that it's always important to​ check the​ schedule.

Interestingly,​ despite playing 82 home games to​ gain one extra postseason home date in​ a​ series,​ the​ home court means less in​ the​ playoffs than it​ does during the​ regular season. Generally,​ that's because teams in​ a​ post-season series have similar travel itineraries. For example,​ if​ San Antonio and Sacramento are set to​ square off in​ a​ best-of-seven series beginning in​ Texas,​ once the​ Kings visit the​ Spurs for the​ initial two games in​ the​ series,​ the​ teams will have similar travel schedules,​ flying to​ Northern California within hours of​ each other. That also will be the​ case if​ a​ return flight to​ San Antonio is​ needed to​ finish the​ series. the​ sameness of​ travel mitigates the​ home court advantage.

Yes,​ talent counts in​ NBA betting,​ but cagey bettors also understand that it’s important to​ check those schedules before placing a​ wager.
Travel More Than The Home Court Is The Key Factor In Nba Betting Travel More Than The Home Court Is The Key Factor In Nba Betting Reviewed by Henda Yesti on August 26, 2018 Rating: 5

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